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Frogs O' War Friday Picks: Week 1

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It's time for the Friday picks, as we see which staff member has the best crystal ball.

Hallelujah football is back, and we should all be glad we don't play A&M this season. Now, here are the first staff picks of the season:

Staff Standings

T-1. Jamie Plunkett (0-0)

T-1. HawkeyedFrog (0-0)

T-1. coachmelissa (0-0)

T-1. tylervr (0-0)

T-1. Marshall Weber (0-0)

Iowa State vs. North Dakota State

Jamie Plunkett

Iowa State 28, North Dakota State 27 - Iowa State is definitely on upset alert for this game, but after seeing Kansas State falter to the Bison in 2013, they take this game seriously from the start and hold on late.

HawkeyedFrog

Iowa State 30, North Dakota State 27 - This is surprisingly a big one for the Cyclones, because they need this one to have a shot at bowl eligibility, but NDSU is just a tremendous team. I think after last year's debacle, ISU comes out focused and takes an early lead that they maintain throughout, even with NDSU never letting them make it comfortable.

coachmelissa

Iowa State 20, North Dakota State 10 - ISU's linebackers wreak havoc and the defense scores. Offense manages to move the ball enough to hold off ND State. Cyclones win.

tylervr

North Dakota State 34, Iowa State 31 - The 3-time defending FCS Championship always has a lot to play for when going up against an FBS team. Iowa State's defense will not be able to prevent the Bison from scoring and completing the upset.

Marshall Weber

Iowa State 27, North Dakota State 17 - Mark Mangino's offense is easily the best storyline in the game. If that tells you anything.


Oklahoma vs. Louisiana Tech

Jamie Plunkett

Oklahoma 63, Louisiana Tech 10 - Blake Bell catches a TD pass from his new position, Trevor Knight throws for 4 touchdowns and rushes for two more as the Sooners dispatch of Louisiana Tech with ease.

HawkeyedFrog

Oklahoma 77, Louisiana Tech 9 - As rough a first season as Sonny Dykes had at Cal, Louisiana Tech possibly had it worse last year for the simple fact that they had expectations. Against an Oklahoma team that should be one of the nations best?  The Sooners will be able to make the score whatever they like- and you know Stoops loves big numbers in his early season games.

coachmelissa
Oklahoma 42, Louisiana Tech 17 - Trevor Knight builds off his performance against Alabama, throwing for four touchdowns and vaulting him into the Heisman conversation (for now). OU defense doesn't look great, but they win going away, 42-17.

tylervr

Oklahoma 34, Louisiana Tech 17 - OU has been ranked as high as #3 in the nation in preseason polls. Trevor Knight will lead the way for the Sooners, even with a lack of strong options at wide receiver.

Marshall Weber
Oklahoma 42, Louisiana Tech 13 - Trevor Knight lives up as promised. For now.


Texas Tech vs. Central Arkansas

Jamie Plunkett

Texas Tech 56, Central Arkansas 6 - Texas Tech doesn't screw around in the first half of the season. Over the last three seasons they're a combined 18-3 in their first seven games, winning by an average of 23 points per game (with a 9-3 conference record in those games) to boot. They don't screw around and stomp out Central Arkansas early.

HawkeyedFrog

Texas Tech 52, Central Arkansas 17 - Although Tech is actually breaking free from the previous "never play anyone from a conference you've heard of" non-conference philosophy this year, this game is going to be ugly.  We'll get a first glimpse at whomever is behind Webb at quarterback, because this one will be over early.  Still, Central may do enough on offense to make Tech fans worry about the season to come.

coachmelissa
Texas Tech 45, Central Arkansas 24 - Tech looks sloppy early, as they face a team that slings it around as much as they do. Neither team is much for stops, but Central makes more mistakes and Tech takes hold of the game early in the third.

tylervr
Texas Tech 54, Central Arkansas 10 - Central Arkansas with not be able to handle Tech's passing offense and the Red Raiders will run away with this one. After moving their leading rusher (Kenny Williams) from last season to linebacker, the offense will be using Davis Webb's arm even more this season.

Marshall Weber
Texas Tech 70, Central Arkansas 30 - Tech gets off to it's typical hot start. Kingsbury's half beard and wayfarers are still the most talked about aspect of the game.


Kansas State vs. Stephen F. Austin

Jamie Plunkett

Kansas State 35, Stephen F. Austin 17 - Kansas State doesn't forget their home opener last season, but that won't stop SFA from making things difficult early. However, Tyler Lockett, arguably the best wide receiver in the Big 12, breaks free for two second half touchdowns to lead the Wildcats going away.

HawkeyedFrog

Kansas State 41, Stephen F. Austin 6 - Last year the Wildcats dropped their opener and stadium dedication game to an FCS team.  Snyder will have had that game playing in the locker room every time the team came in from fall practices, and K-State will take care of business.

coachmelissa
Kansas State 48, Stephen F. Austin 7 - K-State sends out early notice to the Big 12 that they will be in the title discussion all year long, as they embarrass a decent SFA team.

tylervr
Kansas State 48, Stephen F. Austin 7 - Kansas State is going to be a strong contender for the Big 12 Championship this season. Bill Synder will have the Wildcats ready to take on a much weaker Stephen F. Austin team.

Marshall Weber
Kansas State 35, SFA 10 - The Wildcats started out slow--errr bad--last season, but became a great team. They return as the latter. They play Auburn in two weeks and won't be have the liberty to putz around early in the season--this game included. Snyder obviously knows that. They're going to be fun the watch.


Oklahoma State vs. Florida State (At AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Tx)

Jamie Plunkett

Florida State 42, Oklahoma State 24 - Jameis Winston shows up in big games, and this one won't be any different. Oklahoma State thinks they're in it for a while, but we all know they're not.

HawkeyedFrog

Florida State 47, Oklahoma State 31 - This would be a huge one for Big 12 playoff respect, and any other year I might pick the Cowboys to pull the upset over the defending national champs. This year the losses are too great, and while I expect it will be tight early on, the Cowboys won't be able to find a way to pull ahead and stay ahead of the Seminoles (though, of course, they'll still find their mojo come Big 12 season).

coachmelissa
Florida State 52, Oklahoma State 17 - OSU is in minor rebuild mode, while FSU is the preseason favorite to repeat as National Champs. Not only will FSU walk away with this one, they will set the tone for a long year for the Pokes. Crab Legs Winston leads the Noles to a big win.

tylervr
Florida State 34, Oklahoma State 24 - This game is going to be a dogfight and it is my pick for the game of the week. The strong Cowboys defense will keep them in the game, but they will only be able to contain Jameis Winston and the Seminole offense for so long.

Marshall Weber
Florida State 55, Oklahoma State 20 -Oklahoma State picks at the FSU's new-ish defense. But Jameis is Jameis--and he has a big 2014 debut in his future home in Arlington.


Texas vs. North Texas

Jamie Plunkett

Texas 42, North Texas 17 - As you'll see, most of my colleagues think this game will be close. Sure, North Texas is much improved, but unfortunately for the Big 12, so is Texas. Their running game is Charlie Strong. Yes. I made that joke. Don't worry. I regret it.

HawkeyedFrog

Texas 27, North Texas 24 - I've been arguing with myself over this one, and as much as I think there's an 80% chance that the Longhorns steamroll the Eagles, the niggling statement of "but that UNT O-line should be really good" is staying in my head. I think the Eagles will put up a hell of a game, but some late heroics from David Ash and company (and perhaps some home cooking in the officiating) keep the streak alive and ensure coach Charlie Strong of a win in his debut.

coachmelissa
Texas 24, North Texas 17 - I want to pick the Mean Green. I think they are a good team and Texas is tearing down to build back up. If this game was in Denton, I would give them a chance, but since it's in ATX, Texas gets a scare, but holds on for the win.

tylervr
Texas 28, North Texas 17 - The Charlie strong era has officially begun, and all of the eyes will be on him. I believe that he will come away with his first win versus the Mean Green. It will not be pretty, as there is a brand new style and overall structure that has entered Austin.

Marshall Weber

Texas 34, North Texas 17 - Charlie Strong gets a win in his debut. A very boring win, but a win nevertheless.


West Virginia @ Alabama (in Atlanta)

Jamie Plunkett

Alabama 31, West Virginia 7 - Clint Trickett won't get any love from Nick Saban, despite getting a smooch from his daughter in 6th grade. Alabama may be "down" but they won't have a problem with the Mountaineers.

HawkeyedFrog

Alabama 23, West Virginia 19 - This is not a ringing endorsement of Alabama, as I think they're highly overrated this season and could come in with 3-4 losses pretty easily (even with a pretty light SEC schedule).  This is merely a hunch that West Virginia is going to be pretty average this year, as much as the league may hope otherwise. It's tight, but the Big 12 loses both of its marquee opening games.

coachmelissa
Alabama 35, West Virginia 3 - Nick Saban has had 8 months to prep for this game - it doesn't matter who plays QB, he's not losing week one. Bama reminds us that they are still pretty good.

tylervr
Alabama 38, West Virginia 9 - do not believe that the Mountaineers will be able to play with the Crimson Tide. Alabama has one of the top defenses in the nation, and will smoother West Virginia attempts to get into the end zone.

Marshall Weber
Alabama 31, West Virginia 14 - Clint Trickett doesn't get a second kiss. Kiffin and Saban commence everyone's least favorite #TrueDetectiveSeason2.

Baylor vs. SMU (Sunday)

Jamie Plunkett

Baylor 77, SMU 17 - Baylor scores 56 in the first half and attempts only 4 passes in the second half, but their ground game manages to pound out a few more touchdowns. It's not their fault SMU is terrible, so don't blame them for a lopsided score.

HawkeyedFrog

Baylor 91, SMU 40 - Although Baylor will come back to earth this season, SMU loses the one consistently good thing they had going for them on offense last year in RB Zach Line and the defense returns just 3 starters. Given that Art Briles is the coach of Baylor, the bears will be chucking it deep in the fourth quarter Jackie Sherrill style and calling time outs to run more plays to make this one look as ugly as possible. Judgement will come for this year's Baylor team, but as SMU is the best(!!!) non-con they'll face, it won't happen until Big 12 play hits.

coachmelissa
Baylor 56, SMU 14 - There are no winners here if you're a Frog. Baylor takes care of business, pounds the Ponies.

tylervr
Baylor 48, SMU 10 - Bryce Petty will be poised to lead the Baylor offense over a young SMU team, as he is a strong candidate for the Heisman Trophy. Neal Burcham will make the start for the Mustangs, as Garrett Gilbert has graduated. Baylor's defense will have to improve from last season, and this game at the brand new McLane Stadium in Waco.

Marshall Weber
Baylor 63, SMU 42 - The Sunday night game is sloppy and full of bad defense.


TCU vs. Samford

Jamie Plunkett

TCU 45, Samford 10 - The Frogs offense moves well with both quarterbacks, answering exactly zero questions about who the real starter will be come conference play. Samford, thanks for the tune-up.

HawkeyedFrog

TCU 38, Samford 0 - I have no frickin' clue what to expect from the offense.  None.  The only things I know are that the Frogs have an incredible defense lined up and the Frogs hired two people who might conceivably know how to run an offense.  That's enough against a team like Samford.

coachmelissa

TCU 41, Samford 10 - The unveiling of the new offense and the unleashing of a stout D is a recipe for opening week success. The Frogs give fans reason to celebrate, winning their first game.

tylervr

TCU 41, Samford 7 - TCU has a lot to prove in the opening week of their fall campaign versus a much weaker opponent. With two new offensive coordinators hired to revamp the struggling offense from last season, look for TCU to use both quarterbacks Joeckel and Boykin effectively on Saturday. Gary Patterson will also have the defense ready to play and look for one of the top secondaries to make a strong impact in this game.

Marshall Weber
TCU 49, Samford 13 - The Cumbie/Meacham era gets off to a good start. Still difficult to see whether Boykin or Joeckel emerges as the winner-- and watching Kenny Football and A&M last night--it's even more up in the air than it was two days ago. Both could work really well in the system, so I'm more interested to see who emerges as the top receiver. Kyle Hicks shines at running back and the defense does its usual thing.