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TCU Basketball Projected 7th in Big 12 by

Everyone’s favorite basketball analytics guru is a little more optimistic about the 2020 Frogs than other preseason polls.

NCAA Basketball: NIT Semifinal-Texas vs TCU Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports, the most useful basketball statistics platform on the planet, has released its 2020 college basketball season projections. (Note, the site uses the year in which a season finishes to denote seasons, which clarifies things a bit. So, even though this season is starting in 2019, we’ll continue to refer to it as the 2020 season.)

KenPom’s projections come quickly on the heels of the Big 12 Preseason Poll, which ranks the TCU Horned Frogs a resounding last, projecting yet again Kansas to win the conference, with the only serious challengers being Texas Tech and the Basketball team in Waco. TCU finished the season 8th in the conference last year at 7-11, and lost enough valuable upperclassmen that despite Desmond Bane’s All-Conference Preseason selection, no one expects TCU to do much on the court.

KenPom is a bit more optimistic on the Frogs, Projecting them at 46th overall, 7th in the Big 12. KenPom’s numbers take into account a little more nuance of graduate transfers, of which TCU has many, and player development, of which Kevin Samuel and Desmond Bane will both have. KenPom’s earliest iteration has TCU going 8-10, which is essentially going .550 against everyone except Kansas.

TCU’s 2020 basketball campaign seems uncertain from the start, and the projections have the Frogs outside of the bubble looking in. For the Frogs to earn their second tournament bid this century, they’ll have to prove it on the court, and in a Big 12 conference projected to be a full .8 points better than the next best conference, TCU will have their chances.

Here’s how the conference looks in the projections: TCU leans defense heavy, and has a lot of ground to make up on offense.

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