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Join our Week 6 DFS Contests via below URLs:
- Private Frogs O War contest: https://www.fanduel.com/entry/50798-238700256
- Public Main Slate contest: https://www.fanduel.com/entry/50798-238700576
Note: you will need a FanDuel account, but you do not need to make a deposit to join these contests, all these games are free and just for bragging rights.
Let’s take a quick look back at Week 5 featuring another high scoring TCU game and some huge value plays:
Good Calls
My Value call for the TCU-Texas matchup, Longhorn WR Jake Smith did score a TD on 6 catches, but luckily for Frog fans he also had some critical drops and offensive pass interference penalties
On the Main Slate, I called for Chuba Hubbard to get multiple TDs, which he got along with 145 yards to pay off as the Stud RB. Zach Smith did not put up massive numbers, but was solid as a Value QB leading the Golden Hurricane to a massive upset over UCF. The absolute superstar of my Main Slate lineup was Value WR John Metchie III of Alabama who was priced super low and roasted Texas A&M for 181 yards and 2 TDs, good for 32.6 fantasy points. Metchie was rostered on only 0.9% of tournament lineups, giving me a huge advantage over the field.
Bad Calls
I ended up on the wrong side of the Beuchele/White debate as the SMU QB went home with the win and 33.66 fantasy points, while White put up just 23.9, primarily due to 3 turnovers. Technically I was also wrong on the Ehlinger/Duggan question on the single-game slate: Sam scored 44.01 in the MVP slot while Max put up 40.71 – if #MaxWasIn on the opening TD rather than giving that TD to Barlow, it’s a different story. I chose the wrong UCF player as my Value RB, as Otis Anderson got the majority of the work over Greg McRae, despite being questionable going into the game. My Stud WR Charleston Rambo put up a dud game for the Sooners in a loss - I may need to steer clear of the OU offense, but with another likely high scoring affair this week at the Cotton Bowl, it will be difficult to avoid.
Okay, time to look forward at the best plays for Week 6:
Single Game Slate
Well folks, FanDuel didn’t think TCU vs. K-State was an exciting enough matchup to include for Single Game contests this week. This is disappointing, especially as somehow Texas Tech-Iowa State is an option. Perhaps it will be added later, but as I’m writing this we’re left out this week. So in lieu of a Single Game breakdown, I’ll give some quick thoughts on how players from this game fit into the Main Slate
Kansas State @ TCU (-8.5), O/U: 50.5
Stud
Deuce Vaughn, RB K-State ($8,700) – The Deuce has certainly been let loose on the Big 12, as Vaughn has demolished Texas Tech and Oklahoma in the last 2 weeks. KSU QB Skylar Thompson is considered a game-time decision after an injury last week, so the pass game may be diminished in this game. The TCU front has certainly been susceptible to skilled RBs on the ground and through the air, often for explosive plays. I am hoping Patterson and crew can scheme up some ways to keep Vaughn bottled up, but given what we’ve seen so far, look for at least a few big plays from the Wildcat’s breakout star. (Note: Max Duggan is rightfully priced like a stud this week, at $9,500 on the Main Slate and could certainly put up great numbers again, but on the Main Slate, I think I’d pay a few dollars more for the star QBs in games with much higher point totals)
Value
Quentin Johnston, WR TCU ($5,600) – The man is just a big play waiting to happen and he’s priced below basement level. That said, basically everyone in this game outside of Vaughn and Duggan would be great value plays if they can get a few big plays or a TD. Skylar Thompson and alternate Will Howard are priced at $7,000, which is just too low given what the TCU defense has allowed. Taye Barber is well under priced at $7,600 as a threat to run on top of his high receiving ceiling. Also, after reading Melissa on JD Spielman this week, I’m ready for the star transfer’s breakout – when he houses a punt return and takes a quick crosser 45 yards for a TD you’ll be happy he was in your lineup for just $5,800.
Main Slate
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Reminder, your Main Slate roster will include 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, and a Super Flex (any offensive player, including QB). The Main Slate this week includes 14 games including several huge Top 25 match ups in the SEC and ACC paired with a high-scoring Red River Shootout Rivalry Showdown Shrug. You could probably simply stack everyone from Texas-OU and come out in great shape – good offenses, bad defenses, high priced QBs but low-priced WRs & RBs, high total with a low spread – it’s a perfect recipe for fantasy success. But there are plenty of intriguing plays, in games that actually have national relevance
Stud QB
Trevor Lawrence ($10,000): Clemson (-14) vs. Miami FL, O/U 62 – You don’t need me to tell you about this guy. He’s awesome, his team is awesome, his weapons are awesome. His worst game this season was against The Citadel, where he threw 9 passes and still scored 24.92 fantasy points! Perhaps The U can keep it close with Clemson, but that will just mean Lawrence will be called upon to pass more
Value QB
Hendon Hooker ($8,000): Virginia Tech (+4.5) vs. North Carolina, O/U 59 – Hooker has not played yet this season due to an undisclosed injury (though it’s been noted as COVID-related) and the Hokie offense has been downright stellar in his absence, which is worrisome. However that success has been driven by a hyper productive running game that will likely have a more difficult time against UNC than it had with NC State and Duke. Enter Hooker to save the passing game, who is being called “a full go” to play this week. In his 10 games of 2019 Hooker threw for over 1500 yards with a 13-2 TD-INT ratio, plus an additional 356 yards and 5 TDs rushing. With this slate filled with excellent QB plays, I can understand not rostering a value QB, but think this is the cheapest he’ll be priced all season.
Stud RB
Kyren Williams ($9,000): Notre Dame (-21) vs. Florida State, O/U 52 – You would certainly be happy with any of the top RBs in prime spots this week (Najee, Etienne, Breece), but I’ll drop down slightly to a player who will likely be far lesser owned at a cheaper price. Despite its supposed talent, the Seminole defense has been atrocious so far this season, especially against the run. The risk of including Williams in your lineup is that the Irish have a deep stable of RBs and have shown that in a blowout, they’ll spread the opportunity to others. However he’s a confirmed top-line starter as a huge home favorite against one of country’s worst run defenses – he should be given every opportunity for a massive game.
Value RB
Tank Bigsby ($6,800): Auburn (-13.5) vs. Arkansas, O/U 47.5 – Auburn looked bad last week against Georgia, while Arkansas is coming off its first SEC win in forever. However the Tigers get to bounce back as significant favorites at home and this should be good news for the running game. The 4-star true-freshman played a big role against the Dawgs with 15 touches for 99 yards and I’m hoping he gets even more work this week. Auburn has injuries all over the offensive skill positions, and if those miss or are limited Saturday, look for Bigsby to be the feature of the offense. If backfield mates Shivers and DJ Williams end up active Saturday, pivot to Tennessee’s Eric Gray or TCU’s Darwin Barlow for a similar price
Stud WR
Devonta Smith ($8,800): Alabama (-24) vs. Mississippi, O/U 69.5 – Alabama has a team total of 47.5 points, more than several game totals this week. Frankly you could start every Alabama player – I’m sure Waddle and Najee and Mac are all going to put up monster performances in this one too. Using the very handy CFB-Graphs from our friend @statsowar, Ole Miss is dead last (of 74 qualifying teams) in defensive EPA/play while the Crimson Tide offense ranks 3rd in EPA/play...it’s fair to assume Alabama will amass huge yardage and points. I guess I’m highlighting Smith this week instead of the other Bama stars because I saw THIS PLAY and now believe he is an actual wizard.
Value WR
Dazz Newsome ($6,900): North Carolina (-4.5) vs. Virginia Tech, O/U 59 – This pick has no basis in what we’ve seen this season. In 2019 Newsome had over 1000 receiving yards and 10 TDS…through 2 games in 2020 he has just 3 catches for 31 yards. Tar Heel QB Sam Howell hasn’t been especially outstanding yet this season, but this is a spotlight Top-20 matchup and think he’ll hit some big plays and I’m looking for Dazz to dazzle (I’ll see myself out…)
Weekly Contest
Note: you will need a FanDuel account, but you do not need to make a deposit to join these contests, all these games are free and just for bragging rights.
Week 5 Results:
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I finished 2nd in both the single-game and main slate contests in Week 5. Sorry for letting you all down, I’ll work to be better in Week 6.
Can you defeat me and the competition in Week 6? This week we are trying a Private contest, to test how you stack up against fellow Frogs O War readers. Come talk smack on Twitter when you beat me or let me know if my advice steered your lineup into the money or into the dumpster. We also still have the Public Main Slate contest to test your skills against the general FanDuel public. Join both by copying the below URLs into your browser.
For the Private Frogs O War contest: https://www.fanduel.com/entry/50798-238700256
For the Public Main Slate contest: https://www.fanduel.com/entry/50798-238700576
Good luck!