A brief peek back at what went right and what went wrong in Week 15:
It was another very DFS successful weekend and it was thanks in large part to big days from almost all of my calls from last week’s column. QBs Brennan Armstrong was the only bright spot for UVA as he put up over 20 fantasy points despite the rivalry loss to the Hokies; Value QB JT Daniels has revitalized the Georgia hype train with 300 yards and 3 TDS, rostered on just 2.6% of tournament lineups; UCLA RB Demetric Felton was in a shootout with USC and compiled 137 yards and 2 TDs; UNC blew out Miami and Dyami Brown got in the party with 167 yards; and Value WR Kayshon Boutte exploded in LSU’s upset win over Florida with over 100 yards and a TD.
Despite getting the bell-cow workload as projected, Value RB Christian Beal-Smith could only muster 62 total yards with no TDs. Not a fully terrible call, but didn’t work out to be helpful in delivering a tournament winning performance.
Let’s look forward to the best plays for Championship Week:
Reminder: your Main Slate roster will include 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, and a Super Flex (any offensive player, including QB). The Championship Week Main Slate features
14 games 13 games (FSU-Wake Forest was already canceled), and although they aren’t all for a trophy there are some exciting opportunities. That said, many of these games should be fully avoided with low totals, bad offenses, and good defenses, so these calls may funnel to a few places.
Kellen Mond ($9,300): Texas A&M (-14) vs. Tennessee, O/U 51 – Somehow Mond is priced as the 9th most expensive QB on the slate despite facing the #100 overall defensive EPA/Pass. The Aggies will be looking to put on a show in an effort to impress the CFP Committee, and although we know winning by 50+ in the final week of the season doesn’t move the needle for those suits, I wouldn’t expect to see Jimbo Fisher ease off the accelerator at any point.
Graham Mertz ($7,100): Wisconsin (-13) vs. Minnesota, O/U 47 – Value QB is a wasteland this week as there are so many household names on the slate and those with high upsides or with high Totals are all priced up. So, give me the QB playing the worst defense on the slate, even if he hasn’t put up big numbers since B1G week 1 vs. Illinois. Yes, Wisconsin likes to power its way past teams and grind out the clock, but even with all that I think Mertz will pay off at this price. You probably won’t play a Value QB on this slate, but if looking for a unique lineup, I can’t see Mertz on more than 5% of tournament lineups.
Max Borghi ($8,700): Wazzu (+10.5) vs. Utah, O/U 62 – Look, you can pay up for Najee Harris ($11,200) or go back to the Felton well ($9,800), but if you’re working to fit in several super-studs elsewhere, Borghi is a great option. He will fly under the radar on this slate, with this being his first game returning from injury and facing a difficult Utes defense. As a frightening threat in the pass game in addition to his running prowess, Borghi could make the most of his only 2020 opportunity.
Chris Curry ($6,100): LSU (+2.5) vs. Ole Miss, O/U 75 – There doesn’t project to be much defense played in this game and Curry will look to take advantage as the LSU backfield is ravaged with injuries. If fellow backfield mate John Emery Jr. has to miss this game Curry will have every opportunity to explode at this price point.
DeVonta Smith ($11,000): Alabama (-17.5) vs. Florida, O/U 74.5 – The eventual Heisman Trophy winner will likely be some player from this game, and the wind seems to be pointing to Smith lately. He has been simply incredible this season and he’ll likely have another explosive game against a struggling Gator defense. If the Florida offense can keep up and lead to a shootout of great teams trading scores, Smith should score multiple TDs and rack up massive yardage. Lock it in.
Trejan Bridges ($4,200): Oklahoma (-6) vs. Iowa State, O/U 58 – The rich just keep getting richer - the Sooner offense gets to add a 5-Star WR to its incredible stable of talent. Bridges has not played this season, serving a suspension, but if given any opportunity in his North Texas homecoming, this price is simply far too low. He could pay off with one catch and a TD. If you find it too risky to dig this deep into the Value bin, you could fill all of your WR slots with high-upside players priced between $6,900 (Marvin Mims) and $7,100 (John Metchie) and feel pretty confident about your chances
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